Test Your Probabilistic Intuition
How closely does your intuition match reality?
Life is full of all sorts of risks, chances, and gambles.
With this course, you'll learn to analyze probabilistic scenarios and optimize your chances to win probabilistic games. By the end of this course, you’ll have mastered many foundational topics including fairness, expected value, and using symmetry to simplify probability problems.
Start by understanding and strengthening your existing probabilistic intuition!
What are the odds of getting all these problems right?
Strengthen your intuition for probabilistic math by thinking systematically about outcomes.
Learn how to create and use distribution charts to tackle challenging problems.
Learn how and when to switch perspectives and ask, "When does this event NOT happen?".
Practice making smart, strategic decisions, even when the outcomes are uncertain.
Analyze lotteries, coin flips, and other games of chance to learn how probability can help you avoid costly mistakes.
Roll the dice! Take a chance! But know what the risk is.
Get starting using dice to explore the Rule of Sum and Rule of Product.
Avoid the pitfalls of probability in situations where mistakes are very common.
When is it easier to find the probability of something NOT happening?
When things are balanced, you can use these shortcuts.
Approach the real game of Shut the Box and find the best strategies!
Evaluate games and their fairness.
When do players have an equal chance of winning?
Test your knowledge of fairness with a real dice game.
Calculate some bets on the classic casino game.
Untangle the strategies behind this progressive dice game.
Sometimes, adding the expected values is all you need to do.
Use math and decide: should you play this game?
Leverage symmetry in creative and surprising ways.
A simple game with cards leads to a tricky probability scenario.
Knowing more information can significantly change the probabilities.