NBA Championships or the Stanley Cup?

Logic Level 1

Professional sports leagues usually do their best to even the playing field by distributing skilled players throughout the league. This way, teams are always competitive and the games are more fun to watch.

Still, teams are always a bit uneven in terms of skill level, or scoring potential. Throughout the 2018 NBA season, the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors have scored an average of 101 and 109 points per game, respectively and are facing each-other in the NBA Championship. In the NHL, the Washington Capitals and the Las Vegas Knights scored an average of 3.12 and 3.26 goals per game, respectively and are facing each-other in the Stanley Cup.

An example basketball scoreboard.

An example basketball scoreboard.

Which underdog team is more likely to win their respective championship?

Details: Assume the teams' defensive performance is comparable and use only the provided points-per-game statistics. In hockey, a goal counts as one point; in basketball, goals count as either one, two, or three points depending on how it was made.

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