Random Walks
Think of the random walk as a game, where the player starts at the origin (i.e. all coordinates equal ) and at each move, he is required to make one step on an arbitrarily chosen axis. For example, in two dimensions, the player would step forwards, backwards, left, or right. The choice is to be made randomly, determined, for instance, by the toss of a fair coin. This is related to many other random events such as Brownian motion, and combination of error in measurements.
Expected Progress in One Dimension
Basic probability would tell you that the expected deviation from the origin in the long run ought to be zero. But one must have the feeling that as , the number of steps taken increases, he is more likely to have strayed farther away from the origin, . So, we might ask, what is the average of , where is the net distance (from the origin) traveled in steps.
After one step, the value of . The expected value of , for , can be obtained from , as
, and because we expect to reach each one of the values half the time, the average of is just going to be.
is also called root mean squared (rms) deviation and in similar situations to ours, we can expect the absolute value of the deviation of an observed value from the mean, in our case the position x=0, to be less than or equal to the rms.
Example Question 1
What would be the width of the range into which the experimental probability should fall so that the coin tossed can be considered a fair one?
Examples in one dimension:
A frog, namely, Sally, is jumping about the vertices of a hexagon, , each time jumping to one of the adjacent vertices with equal probability. Let Sally start her daily workout in , and a mine be located in . Every second Sally must make her random jump (as described above). What is Sally's expected lifespan, in minutes, in this system?
As a bonus, can you generalise for jumps?
This problem is a part of my froggy, soggy set.
An ant starts a random walk on the real number line at . At each step, the ant moves by or with equal probability. After moves, the probability that the ant is on a positive number can be expressed as where and are positive coprime integers. What is the value of
This problem is posed by Michael T.
A man takes a step forward with probability 0.4 and backward with probability 0.6. Find the Probability at the end of eleven steps he is one step away from starting point.
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A man is standing on an infinite ladder. In one move, he can either go up (with probability ), down (with probability ) or stay where he is (with probability ).
Find the probability that after moves he is one step away from his initial position.
Inspired by this problem.
Here, we apply the Random Walk in - dimensional space.
Daniel is standing on the origin in the coordinate space. He walks either up, down, left, right, forwards, or backwards one unit each second, each with equal probability. After 6 seconds, the probability he is back on the origin can be expressed as for positive coprime integers . Find .
A drunkard walks out of a bar at midnight. He is in 3-dimensional space of an infinite size. The probability of his stepping 1 step forward, backward, left, right, up or down is equal. Calculate the probability (to two decimal places) of his (eventually) returning to the bar.
Details and Assumptions:
Assume the bar is a point particle at the origin.
We require the probability that he will, at any point in time, return to the bar.
Do not try this at home.